Population Projection for Sudan using Leslie Matrix

  • Mothana Abdelgader Salawy
  • Cherif Ali Hamza
Keywords: Sudan, Fertility Rate, Mortality, Leslie Matrix Model, Population Projection

Abstract

The issue of the future of the population has always been a concern for population's scientists to get good and realistic Projections, this study aims to examine the accuracy of the Leslie matrix that projects the female population in Sudan from data that had have obtained from the results of Age Specific Fertility Rate (ASFR), which is an age-structured version for projected future population based on fertility and survival rates.

In this study, we are going to construct a Leslie matrix that's Number of females in Sudan for every five-year period between 2014 and 2049. To illustrate the effectiveness of this method and find out the advantages and disadvantages.

After obtaining the results we conclude that Leslie matrix is mostly suitable for the mid-life group between 15-49 years

Published
2021-10-31
Issue
Vol 13 No 4 (2021): volume 13 number 4 2021 A
Section
Articles