the relationship between the relationshipbetweeninflation, unemployment and economic growthin Algeria usingthe Co-integration and ECM model

  • خربوش مصطفى كُلّية العُلوم الاقتصاديّة والعُلوم التّجاريّة وعُلوم التّسيير جامعة أبى بكر بلقايد تلمسان
Keywords: unemployment, inflation, economic growth, Co-integration, ECM model

Abstract

This researchexaminesthe relationshipbetweenunemployment, inflation and economic growth ratesin Algeria duringthe period of1991-2013, usingthe methodology of the Co-integration, causality test and ECM model. . The research found that the time series of inflation rate and unemployment rate and GDP are non-stationary, and to make them stationary the first differences are applied. Therefore, the time series are integrated of the first orders and using Johanson test, we found a co-integration betweeninflation and economic growth rates in Algeria, in addition to a causal relationship in one directionbetween them. After error correction model estimation, we found that the actual deviation from equilibrium between the two variables, iscorrected by 32.41 each year.

the relationship between the relationshipbetweeninflation, unemployment and economic growthin Algeria  usingthe Co-integration and ECM model
Published
2015-10-02
Section
Articles