MODELISATION DE LA PERCEPTION ET ADAPTATION DES AGRICULTEURS DU CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE DANS LA COMMUNE RURALE DE KOURTHEYE AU NIGER

Boubacar SOUMANA; Mahamadou IDRISSA SAIDOU; Razinatou YACOUBA ALI; Abdoulkarimou SANOUNA

Boubacar SOUMANA Département de Sociologie et Economie Rurales, Faculté d’Agronomie Université Abdou Moumouni de Niamey, BP 10960 Niamey, Niger
Mahamadou IDRISSA SAIDOU Laboraratoire d’Analyse et de Recherche en Sociologie et Economie Rurale (LARSER)
Razinatou YACOUBA ALI Département de Sociologie et Economie Rurales, Faculté d’Agronomie Université Abdou Moumouni de Niamey, BP 10960 Niamey, Niger
Abdoulkarimou SANOUNA Département de Sociologie et Economie Rurales, Faculté d’Agronomie Université Abdou Moumouni de Niamey, BP 10960 Niamey, Niger

Abstract

The study aims to analyze: (1) the factors that influence perception and adaptation to climate ch ange and (2) agro-climatic risks and farmers' adaptation strategies. 250 farmers were sampled. Heckman's Probit model and Multiple Correspondence Analysis were used respectively for (1) and (2). The results show that the factors that influence the perception of climate change include level of education, number of years of experience, age and number of farm. The factors influencing adaptation include year of experience, household size, non-farm income, breeding practice, and organization membership, access to agricultural credit, agricultural advice and state subsidy. Faced with agro-climatic risks, strategies include varietal choice, CES / DRS activities, recourse to authority and collective prayers. Various strategies deemed insufficient are used to respond to climate risks: hence the need for decision-makers to support farmers with appropriate means of adaptation.